An integrated human reliability and biomechanical consequence assessment framework for man-overboard incidents
OCEAN ENGINEERING, cilt.365, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 365
- Basım Tarihi: 2026
- Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2026.127150
- Dergi Adı: OCEAN ENGINEERING
- Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Applied Science & Technology Source, Compendex, Environment Index, Geobase, ICONDA Bibliographic, INSPEC, The International Construction Database (ICONDA), Academic Search Ultimate (EBSCO), Engineering Source (EBSCO)
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
Working aloft on merchant ships is one of the most dangerous maritime activities and may result in severe accidents. This study proposes a novel risk assessment framework integrating Standardized Plant Analysis Risk Human Reliability Analysis (SPAR-H), Evidential Reasoning (ER), and the Finite Element Method (FEM) to assess man-overboard (MOB) risks during accommodation ladder rigging and lifeboat maintenance operations involving work at height. The proposed methodology utilizes the SPAR-H approach to decompose operational tasks and quantify Human Error Probabilities (HEP) by assessing key Performance Shaping Factors (PSF). Complementing the reliability analysis, FEM simulations were performed using three-dimensional human models to assess the biomechanical impact severity of falls from various heights and entry angles into the water. The findings reveal that the tasks most susceptible to human error are related to failures in ensuring the integrity of accommodation ladder and its railings, also in use of personal protective equipment (PPE). Finite Element Method (FEM) results highlight that injuries resulting from water impact can be life-threatening, depending on the height and the spatial orientation of the body at the time of impact. This integrated framework offers a holistic risk analysis and in-depth implications for maritime stakeholders.