Model Development for Assessment of Risks Caused by Bulk Chemical Cargoes

Kaptan M.

I. International Maritime and Logistics Congress, Zonguldak, Turkey, 22 - 23 September 2023, pp.19-34

  • Publication Type: Conference Paper / Full Text
  • City: Zonguldak
  • Country: Turkey
  • Page Numbers: pp.19-34
  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan University Affiliated: Yes


Chemical tankers are a type of ship designed to carry different types of chemical cargo. Each

of the transported cargo has risks such as explosion, fire, pollution, spontaneous deterioration

of the cargo and damage to the ship's equipment. For this reason, the chemical tank crew

should have good knowledge and skills related to cargo. In this context, it is obvious that

creating risk models that can accurately predict cargo-related risks for crew will provide

significant benefits in preventing accidents. In this study, all risks of chemical cargoes were

determined by taking the opinions of the literature and expert. The relations between the

identified risks and their probabilities were evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively using

the Bayesian network method. In the test application of the network obtained, the risk levels

of cargoes with different properties, such as Fame, Slack wax, Benzene, Sulfuric acid and

Steyrene Monomer, were calculated relatively. As a result of the study, the network

infrastructure that contributes to increasing the awareness of the crew in chemical tankers

about the cargo has been obtained.