Scenario-Based Analysis of Hydraulic Behavior in Dam Failures


Marangoz H. O., Anılan T.

Turkish Journal of Hydraulic, vol.9, no.1, pp.33-41, 2025 (Peer-Reviewed Journal)

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 9 Issue: 1
  • Publication Date: 2025
  • Journal Name: Turkish Journal of Hydraulic
  • Journal Indexes: Index Copernicus, Asos İndeks
  • Page Numbers: pp.33-41
  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

In dam failure applications, the dam break mechanism and the outflow hydrograph are among the most uncertain factors. Therefore, 2D hydraulic modeling and analyzing dam failure scenarios, aiming to reduce uncertainties related to different failure mechanisms by creating 11 distinct scenarios, are carried out. During the modeling process, the interactions between the dam structure and the downstream flow area were evaluated through two dimensional analyses, incorporating various failure types such as "overtopping" and "piping." According to the analysis results, peak flow rates varied between 6,510.06 m³/s and 33,004.04 m³/s depending on the scenario, while the time to reach peak flow ranged from 18 to 91 minutes. It aims to provide a negative backpressure of the hydraulic behavior of dam failures, contributing to risk management and emergency planning while offering critical insights to enhance safety factors in dam design.